Race 1B

north-fall-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ian Holtzworth 15.1% 18.0% 16.5% 14.9% 12.8% 11.8% 6.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexander Sachs 8.2% 8.1% 10.8% 11.2% 12.7% 14.1% 12.8% 12.6% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5%
Alejandro Ravelo 14.0% 13.7% 15.2% 14.1% 13.6% 12.0% 8.8% 5.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Harry Scott 19.2% 16.2% 15.9% 17.2% 13.4% 8.5% 5.6% 2.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Vincent Andrews 10.2% 10.5% 11.4% 11.2% 12.5% 13.8% 12.8% 9.2% 6.1% 2.1% 0.2%
Charles Legge 2.7% 3.4% 5.3% 4.2% 5.7% 9.1% 13.3% 17.2% 18.6% 14.6% 5.9%
Patrick Kana 22.3% 21.0% 15.1% 13.4% 10.5% 9.2% 4.4% 2.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.1%
John Croll 4.4% 4.4% 4.8% 6.1% 10.0% 9.4% 15.9% 15.3% 15.7% 10.9% 3.1%
Nathan Swift 2.1% 2.6% 1.9% 3.6% 3.2% 4.5% 9.6% 13.5% 18.4% 24.3% 16.3%
David Geer 0.5% 0.4% 1.4% 1.2% 1.9% 2.2% 3.7% 5.6% 11.8% 17.7% 53.6%
Ian Hunt 1.3% 1.7% 1.7% 2.9% 3.7% 5.4% 6.5% 12.7% 16.8% 27.0% 20.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.