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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.52+2.62vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.62+1.52vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.61+2.08vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.39-0.13vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+0.88vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.84-0.07vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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3.52University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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5.08California State University Monterey Bay0.610.1%1st Place
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3.87University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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4.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.93University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
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1.86Stanford University2.920.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Sanson | 12.2% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 20.2% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Kyra Oakes | 13.3% | 17.2% | 20.8% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 27.1% | 18.0% | 5.5% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 9.9% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 19.9% | 13.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Grace Carrick | 6.7% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 19.7% | 17.2% | 7.9% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 9.9% | 34.1% | 42.8% |
| Hayley Chong | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 30.4% | 46.9% |
| Maeve White | 49.9% | 27.0% | 14.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.