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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.62+1.51vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.61+2.01vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.52-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.12vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.84-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Stanford University2.920.5%1st Place
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3.51University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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5.01California State University Monterey Bay0.610.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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3.88University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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4.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.93University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 50.8% | 25.5% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 13.0% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 26.2% | 17.5% | 5.2% |
| Kendall Sanson | 10.9% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 20.4% | 19.1% | 11.1% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 10.0% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Grace Carrick | 8.2% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 7.6% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 28.8% | 47.7% |
| Hayley Chong | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 34.3% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.