← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.92+0.86vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California1.52+1.67vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley1.62+0.53vs Predicted
-
4California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.09vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.80vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles1.39-2.17vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.10vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-0.84-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.86Stanford University2.920.5%1st Place
-
3.67University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
-
3.53University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
-
5.09California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
-
4.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
3.83University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
-
6.9University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
-
6.91University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 49.8% | 27.3% | 14.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 11.4% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Kyra Oakes | 14.1% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 26.6% | 18.5% | 5.2% |
| Grace Carrick | 7.1% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 8.2% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 10.7% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 13.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 28.4% | 47.5% |
| Hayley Chong | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 33.3% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.