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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+0.85vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.62+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.39-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+1.92vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.52-2.39vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.88vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.84-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Stanford University2.920.5%1st Place
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4.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.51University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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3.89University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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3.61University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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5.12California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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6.9University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 50.1% | 27.6% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 8.3% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 21.2% | 15.7% | 8.4% | 1.6% |
| Kyra Oakes | 13.3% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 9.7% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 13.7% | 5.9% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 10.0% | 30.5% | 46.4% |
| Kendall Sanson | 12.4% | 15.3% | 21.7% | 19.9% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 27.1% | 17.9% | 5.8% |
| Hayley Chong | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 31.8% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.