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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+0.88vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.52+1.65vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.61+2.00vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.18vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+0.89vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.62-3.42vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.84-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Stanford University2.920.5%1st Place
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3.65University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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5.0California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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4.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.88University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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3.58University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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6.93University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 49.7% | 26.9% | 13.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 11.8% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 4.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 27.1% | 17.3% | 5.1% |
| Grace Carrick | 7.8% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 21.2% | 17.3% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 10.6% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 30.4% | 45.7% |
| Kyra Oakes | 13.5% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Hayley Chong | 0.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 33.5% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.