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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+0.87vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.19vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.81+3.86vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.52-0.30vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.17vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.61-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.62-3.42vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.84-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Stanford University2.920.5%1st Place
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4.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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3.7University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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3.83University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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5.06California State University Monterey Bay0.610.0%1st Place
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3.58University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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6.91University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maeve White | 49.7% | 26.8% | 14.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 8.6% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 21.5% | 16.5% | 7.8% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 29.9% | 45.9% |
| Kendall Sanson | 11.2% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 19.2% | 18.5% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 10.6% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 4.6% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 27.3% | 16.9% | 5.8% |
| Kyra Oakes | 13.1% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 0.1% |
| Hayley Chong | 0.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 10.2% | 32.2% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.