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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.41vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.05+4.72vs Predicted
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3Miami University1.20+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo0.65+1.17vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University1.06-0.91vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-0.34+1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo-0.24+0.03vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.34-2.39vs Predicted
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9Denison University-0.21-1.80vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University0.25-4.12vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-1.49-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.2%1st Place
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6.72Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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3.96Miami University1.200.2%1st Place
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5.17University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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4.09Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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7.46Western Michigan University-0.340.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Buffalo-0.240.1%1st Place
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5.61Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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7.2Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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5.88Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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9.48Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Reddaway | 20.7% | 20.6% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joel Florek | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 6.6% |
| Stuart Fisher | 16.5% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke Gossman | 9.5% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Declercq | 16.9% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Blake Utz | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 12.0% |
| James Mullane | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 9.3% |
| David Aspery | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 1.3% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 10.3% |
| William Lewis | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.