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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo0.65+4.13vs Predicted
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2Miami University1.20+1.75vs Predicted
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3Denison University-0.21+4.26vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University1.06+0.22vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-1.60vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.34-0.20vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.05-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo-0.24-0.95vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.25-2.91vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-0.34-2.75vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-1.49-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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3.75Miami University1.200.2%1st Place
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7.26Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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4.22Michigan State University1.060.1%1st Place
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3.4Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.2%1st Place
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5.8Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.59Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Buffalo-0.240.1%1st Place
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6.09Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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7.25Western Michigan University-0.340.0%1st Place
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9.45Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Gossman | 8.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Stuart Fisher | 18.6% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 11.5% |
| Matthew Declercq | 14.5% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| John Reddaway | 22.4% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Joel Florek | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 7.0% |
| James Mullane | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 8.2% |
| William Lewis | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
| Blake Utz | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 10.4% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.