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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.42vs Predicted
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2Miami University1.20+1.77vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.25+3.17vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo0.65+1.16vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University1.06-0.89vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.05+0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo-0.24+0.02vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.21-1.04vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-0.34-1.51vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University0.34-4.36vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-1.49-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.2%1st Place
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3.77Miami University1.200.2%1st Place
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6.17Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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4.11Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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6.78Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.96Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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7.49Western Michigan University-0.340.0%1st Place
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5.64Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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9.48Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Reddaway | 19.5% | 20.6% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Stuart Fisher | 18.5% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Lewis | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Luke Gossman | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Declercq | 16.4% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Joel Florek | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 7.4% |
| James Mullane | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 9.5% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 8.2% |
| Blake Utz | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 12.5% |
| David Aspery | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.