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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University1.20+2.85vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo0.65+2.23vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.25+2.20vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-0.34+2.37vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University1.06-1.88vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo-0.24-0.02vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.21-0.98vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.34-3.18vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-1.49-0.51vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-0.05-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Miami University1.200.2%1st Place
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3.36Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.2%1st Place
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5.23University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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6.2Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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7.37Western Michigan University-0.340.0%1st Place
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4.12Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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6.98University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.02Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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5.82Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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9.49Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
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6.56Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Fisher | 15.6% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| John Reddaway | 24.2% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Gossman | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| William Lewis | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Blake Utz | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 12.5% |
| Matthew Declercq | 16.2% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| James Mullane | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 8.5% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 10.2% |
| David Aspery | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 53.9% |
| Joel Florek | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.