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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University1.20+2.86vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.34vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.34+2.93vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.25+2.21vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.05+1.71vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University1.06-1.88vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-0.34+0.19vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.21-0.99vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo0.65-3.92vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-1.49-0.47vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo-0.24-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Miami University1.200.2%1st Place
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3.34Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.2%1st Place
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5.93Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.21Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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6.71Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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4.12Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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7.19Western Michigan University-0.340.0%1st Place
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7.01Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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9.53Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Fisher | 15.3% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| John Reddaway | 25.0% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| David Aspery | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| William Lewis | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Joel Florek | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 7.0% |
| Matthew Declercq | 16.4% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Blake Utz | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 9.9% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 9.8% |
| Luke Gossman | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 55.3% |
| James Mullane | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.