Race 6A

buckeye

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Reddaway 21.2% 18.4% 18.4% 13.1% 12.3% 8.3% 3.7% 3.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Stuart Fisher 18.7% 17.7% 15.6% 13.3% 11.1% 9.3% 6.9% 3.5% 3.5% 0.1% 0.3%
William Lewis 6.7% 7.0% 8.4% 8.2% 8.0% 11.8% 11.5% 12.9% 12.0% 9.4% 4.1%
Matthew Declercq 14.4% 14.0% 13.6% 15.2% 13.0% 10.4% 9.1% 5.2% 3.3% 1.5% 0.3%
Luke Gossman 11.4% 11.3% 10.6% 12.4% 11.6% 9.7% 11.4% 9.0% 7.1% 4.5% 1.0%
David Aspery 7.0% 9.4% 9.1% 9.1% 10.4% 11.5% 12.2% 10.6% 9.2% 8.2% 3.3%
Blake Utz 4.9% 4.6% 5.1% 5.6% 7.0% 8.4% 9.0% 13.6% 14.7% 15.5% 11.6%
Margot Sherman Jollis 5.2% 4.4% 6.0% 6.2% 8.9% 9.2% 10.9% 11.1% 14.8% 15.2% 8.1%
Joel Florek 4.9% 6.0% 5.4% 8.6% 7.5% 9.3% 11.2% 12.5% 13.8% 13.3% 7.5%
James Mullane 4.3% 5.8% 6.0% 6.4% 7.5% 8.4% 10.1% 13.2% 12.5% 17.2% 8.6%
Bryce Cartwright 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 2.7% 3.7% 4.0% 5.2% 8.2% 14.7% 55.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.