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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University1.20+2.86vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.35vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.06+1.29vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo0.65+1.21vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.05+1.72vs Predicted
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6Denison University-0.21+1.14vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-1.49+2.38vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.34-2.34vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.25-2.92vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo-0.24-2.93vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-0.34-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Miami University1.200.2%1st Place
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3.35Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.2%1st Place
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4.29Michigan State University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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6.72Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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7.14Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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9.38Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
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5.66Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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6.08Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.24Western Michigan University-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Fisher | 17.0% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| John Reddaway | 24.1% | 19.2% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Declercq | 13.9% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Gossman | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Joel Florek | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 6.6% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 10.2% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 54.6% |
| David Aspery | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| William Lewis | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| James Mullane | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 8.4% |
| Blake Utz | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.