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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.43vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University1.06+2.05vs Predicted
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3Miami University1.20+0.98vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo-0.24+3.45vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.34+0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo0.65-0.96vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.05-0.47vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-0.34-0.74vs Predicted
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9Denison University-0.21-1.83vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-1.49-0.53vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University0.25-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.2%1st Place
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4.05Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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3.98Miami University1.200.2%1st Place
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7.45University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.77Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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6.53Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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7.26Western Michigan University-0.340.0%1st Place
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7.17Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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9.47Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
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5.85Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Reddaway | 21.5% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Declercq | 17.5% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Stuart Fisher | 16.0% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| James Mullane | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 11.8% |
| David Aspery | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Luke Gossman | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Joel Florek | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 5.5% |
| Blake Utz | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 17.6% | 11.9% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 10.4% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 53.6% |
| William Lewis | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.