Race 10A

buckeye

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Reddaway 20.3% 20.8% 14.9% 13.9% 13.4% 8.0% 4.7% 2.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Matthew Declercq 15.5% 15.6% 14.6% 14.2% 12.6% 9.1% 7.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.0%
William Lewis 6.6% 6.5% 7.6% 7.9% 10.4% 11.8% 12.9% 11.5% 13.1% 8.8% 2.9%
James Mullane 3.7% 4.0% 4.5% 6.4% 7.2% 7.0% 11.1% 13.1% 15.7% 17.4% 9.9%
Joel Florek 5.3% 5.3% 7.1% 6.8% 9.1% 10.0% 10.8% 11.7% 14.1% 13.1% 6.7%
Blake Utz 3.1% 4.0% 5.0% 6.1% 7.3% 8.2% 9.8% 11.7% 14.7% 18.1% 12.0%
Stuart Fisher 19.9% 17.7% 17.7% 11.7% 10.4% 9.5% 6.2% 3.5% 2.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Luke Gossman 11.5% 10.5% 10.9% 13.2% 11.4% 11.7% 10.4% 9.2% 6.5% 3.7% 1.0%
Bryce Cartwright 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.7% 2.5% 3.1% 3.9% 5.0% 7.9% 13.8% 57.1%
David Aspery 8.7% 8.3% 9.5% 10.5% 8.8% 12.7% 10.9% 12.7% 8.3% 7.3% 2.3%
Margot Sherman Jollis 4.4% 5.3% 6.2% 7.6% 6.9% 8.9% 11.5% 13.2% 13.1% 14.9% 8.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.