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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.45vs Predicted
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2Miami University1.20+1.81vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-0.34+4.54vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University1.06+0.23vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.21+2.05vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.05+0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo0.65-2.12vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.34-2.34vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo-0.24-1.78vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University0.25-4.13vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-1.49-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.2%1st Place
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3.81Miami University1.200.2%1st Place
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7.54Western Michigan University-0.340.0%1st Place
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4.23Michigan State University1.060.1%1st Place
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7.05Denison University-0.210.0%1st Place
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6.8Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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4.88University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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5.66Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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7.22University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.87Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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9.49Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Reddaway | 20.7% | 19.7% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Stuart Fisher | 18.7% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Blake Utz | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 13.3% |
| Matthew Declercq | 14.5% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 9.7% |
| Joel Florek | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 6.7% |
| Luke Gossman | 12.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| David Aspery | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 1.5% |
| James Mullane | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 10.7% |
| William Lewis | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 16.6% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.