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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University1.20+2.86vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.34vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.05+3.92vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University1.06+0.24vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo0.65+0.05vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.34-0.18vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.25-1.15vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.21-1.05vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-0.34-1.55vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo-0.24-2.96vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-1.49-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Miami University1.200.2%1st Place
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3.34Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.2%1st Place
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6.92Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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4.24Michigan State University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Toledo0.650.1%1st Place
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5.82Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.85Ohio State University0.250.1%1st Place
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6.95Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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7.45Western Michigan University-0.340.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Buffalo-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.49Ohio University-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Fisher | 15.7% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| John Reddaway | 23.1% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 8.6% |
| Matthew Declercq | 14.7% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Luke Gossman | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| David Aspery | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| William Lewis | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 7.3% |
| Blake Utz | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 12.0% |
| James Mullane | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 9.0% |
| Bryce Cartwright | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 15.2% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.