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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.22+2.37vs Predicted
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2Miami University-1.80+5.74vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+4.84vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo-1.31+2.83vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.62-2.29vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.71-0.69vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-1.56+0.08vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.81-2.68vs Predicted
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9Denison University-1.04-2.93vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-0.43-5.48vs Predicted
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11University of Toledo-2.63-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Michigan State University0.220.2%1st Place
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7.74Miami University-1.800.0%1st Place
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7.84Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
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2.71Ohio State University0.620.3%1st Place
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5.31Michigan Technological University-0.710.1%1st Place
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7.08Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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5.32Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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6.07Denison University-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.52Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Radenbaugh | 18.9% | 20.9% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Jose Avila | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 19.5% | 14.3% |
| James Elder | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 19.9% | 16.2% |
| Peter Smith | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Corinne Sackett | 31.5% | 23.6% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Castelic | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Wolff | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 9.0% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Shea Dettling | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Austin Lee | 11.6% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Margaret Hill | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.