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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.62+1.68vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.71+3.26vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo-1.31+3.80vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.22-0.57vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+2.72vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-2.63+3.32vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.80+0.62vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-1.56-0.82vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-0.43-4.27vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-0.81-4.58vs Predicted
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11Denison University-1.04-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Ohio State University0.620.3%1st Place
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5.26Michigan Technological University-0.710.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
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3.43Michigan State University0.220.2%1st Place
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7.72Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
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7.62Miami University-1.800.0%1st Place
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7.18Ohio University-1.560.0%1st Place
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4.73Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.42Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.85Denison University-1.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinne Sackett | 31.2% | 23.4% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Castelic | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Peter Smith | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 6.4% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 20.2% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| James Elder | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 16.7% |
| Margaret Hill | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 47.4% |
| Jose Avila | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 14.2% |
| Patrick Wolff | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 9.2% |
| Austin Lee | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Shea Dettling | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.