← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan State University0.22+2.69vs Predicted
-
2Miami University-1.80+5.84vs Predicted
-
3Georgia Institute of Technology0.30+0.59vs Predicted
-
4Ohio State University0.62-0.98vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University-0.81+0.77vs Predicted
-
6Michigan Technological University-0.71-0.39vs Predicted
-
7University of Buffalo-1.31-0.32vs Predicted
-
8Denison University-1.04-1.84vs Predicted
-
9University of Toledo-2.63+0.28vs Predicted
-
10Western Michigan University-0.43-5.21vs Predicted
-
11Ohio University-2.91-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.69Michigan State University0.220.2%1st Place
-
7.84Miami University-1.800.0%1st Place
-
3.59Georgia Institute of Technology0.300.2%1st Place
-
3.02Ohio State University0.620.2%1st Place
-
5.77Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
-
5.61Michigan Technological University-0.710.1%1st Place
-
6.68University of Buffalo-1.310.1%1st Place
-
6.16Denison University-1.040.1%1st Place
-
9.28University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
-
4.79Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
-
9.57Ohio University-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Radenbaugh | 16.7% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jose Avila | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 21.7% | 20.1% | 9.6% |
| Joshua Kim | 18.6% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Sackett | 24.5% | 23.3% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Castelic | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Peter Smith | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Shea Dettling | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 1.3% |
| Margaret Hill | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 26.7% | 37.2% |
| Austin Lee | 11.2% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Shane LaPlante | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 24.0% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.