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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.62+1.56vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.71+3.02vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+4.57vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.22-0.69vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-0.43-0.54vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo-1.31+0.46vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.80+0.32vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.81-2.84vs Predicted
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9Denison University-1.04-3.10vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-2.91-0.64vs Predicted
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11University of Toledo-2.63-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Ohio State University0.620.3%1st Place
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5.02Michigan Technological University-0.710.1%1st Place
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7.57Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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3.31Michigan State University0.220.2%1st Place
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4.46Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
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7.32Miami University-1.800.0%1st Place
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5.16Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.9Denison University-1.040.1%1st Place
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9.36Ohio University-2.910.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinne Sackett | 32.7% | 23.9% | 18.4% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Castelic | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| James Elder | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 11.0% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 20.4% | 20.9% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lee | 12.5% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Peter Smith | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
| Jose Avila | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 7.7% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Shea Dettling | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Shane LaPlante | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 19.7% | 45.4% |
| Margaret Hill | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 27.2% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.