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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+6.59vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.62+0.55vs Predicted
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3Denison University-1.04+2.91vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.22-0.75vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-0.43-0.54vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo-1.31+0.42vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.71-2.09vs Predicted
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8Miami University-1.80-0.66vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-0.81-3.64vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-2.63-1.10vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-2.91-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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2.55Ohio State University0.620.3%1st Place
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5.91Denison University-1.040.1%1st Place
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3.25Michigan State University0.220.2%1st Place
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4.46Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
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4.91Michigan Technological University-0.710.1%1st Place
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7.34Miami University-1.800.0%1st Place
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5.36Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
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9.32Ohio University-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Elder | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 20.6% | 15.2% | 8.7% |
| Corinne Sackett | 33.5% | 24.5% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Dettling | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 20.2% | 21.6% | 19.7% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lee | 11.6% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Smith | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 3.5% |
| Courtney Castelic | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Jose Avila | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 8.4% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Margaret Hill | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 23.6% | 31.9% |
| Shane LaPlante | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 21.7% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.