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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.22+2.67vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.71+3.59vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology0.30+0.58vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.62-1.04vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-0.43-0.04vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.81-0.21vs Predicted
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7Denison University-1.04-0.89vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-2.63+1.19vs Predicted
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9Ohio University-2.91+0.65vs Predicted
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10Miami University-1.80-2.22vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo-1.31-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Michigan State University0.220.2%1st Place
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5.59Michigan Technological University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.58Georgia Institute of Technology0.300.2%1st Place
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2.96Ohio State University0.620.3%1st Place
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4.96Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.79Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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6.11Denison University-1.040.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
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9.65Ohio University-2.910.0%1st Place
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7.78Miami University-1.800.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Radenbaugh | 16.5% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Castelic | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Kim | 18.2% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Sackett | 26.8% | 21.2% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lee | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 5.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Shea Dettling | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Margaret Hill | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 28.4% | 32.4% |
| Shane LaPlante | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 20.3% | 50.8% |
| Jose Avila | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 21.8% | 8.6% |
| Peter Smith | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.