Race 9B

buckeye

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Corinne Sackett 25.8% 24.5% 16.8% 13.0% 9.7% 7.0% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Courtney Castelic 7.8% 7.5% 8.3% 11.0% 12.5% 14.5% 13.6% 11.6% 8.8% 3.6% 0.8%
Joshua Kim 18.2% 17.4% 17.3% 15.1% 13.2% 8.6% 5.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Colton Radenbaugh 17.0% 16.2% 16.3% 16.7% 13.3% 9.6% 5.9% 2.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Peter Smith 4.4% 4.2% 6.0% 5.4% 8.6% 9.8% 13.5% 15.6% 17.9% 11.3% 3.3%
Shea Dettling 4.5% 5.7% 7.2% 8.1% 9.9% 11.9% 14.1% 15.4% 12.6% 7.8% 2.8%
Margaret Hill 0.8% 2.1% 2.4% 2.3% 2.1% 3.3% 5.2% 7.4% 13.5% 27.3% 33.6%
Brittany Mosgo 7.0% 7.3% 8.3% 11.1% 10.9% 12.4% 14.5% 12.4% 10.3% 4.8% 1.0%
Shane LaPlante 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 2.3% 3.2% 7.0% 7.7% 22.8% 49.9%
Austin Lee 11.4% 11.0% 11.6% 12.0% 11.7% 13.2% 13.3% 9.2% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4%
Jose Avila 2.1% 3.1% 4.6% 3.6% 5.9% 7.4% 9.5% 14.0% 21.5% 20.2% 8.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.