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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgia Institute of Technology0.30+2.53vs Predicted
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2Denison University-1.04+4.31vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.62+0.02vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.22-0.33vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.71+0.59vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-0.43-1.02vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.81-1.41vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-2.91+1.57vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-2.63+0.29vs Predicted
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10Miami University-1.80-2.23vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo-1.31-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Georgia Institute of Technology0.300.2%1st Place
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6.31Denison University-1.040.1%1st Place
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3.02Ohio State University0.620.2%1st Place
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3.67Michigan State University0.220.2%1st Place
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5.59Michigan Technological University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.98Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.59Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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9.57Ohio University-2.910.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
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7.77Miami University-1.800.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Kim | 18.5% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shea Dettling | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Corinne Sackett | 24.2% | 23.7% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 17.8% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Castelic | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Austin Lee | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Shane LaPlante | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 23.5% | 45.4% |
| Margaret Hill | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 26.7% | 37.6% |
| Jose Avila | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 19.7% | 20.3% | 9.1% |
| Peter Smith | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.