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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Denison University-1.04+4.89vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-0.43+2.40vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo-1.31+3.52vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+3.60vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.62-2.37vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.22-2.76vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.80+0.26vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.81-2.80vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-2.630.00vs Predicted
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10Ohio University-2.91-0.64vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-0.71-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Denison University-1.040.0%1st Place
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4.4Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
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7.6Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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2.63Ohio State University0.620.3%1st Place
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3.24Michigan State University0.220.2%1st Place
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7.26Miami University-1.800.0%1st Place
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5.2Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
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9.36Ohio University-2.910.0%1st Place
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4.9Michigan Technological University-0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Dettling | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Austin Lee | 11.0% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Peter Smith | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 2.3% |
| James Elder | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 19.8% | 16.5% | 9.9% |
| Corinne Sackett | 32.5% | 25.1% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 21.1% | 21.5% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jose Avila | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 7.3% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Margaret Hill | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 24.8% | 33.9% |
| Shane LaPlante | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 20.6% | 43.9% |
| Courtney Castelic | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.