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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo-1.31+5.53vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+5.46vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.62-0.36vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.22-0.71vs Predicted
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5Denison University-1.04+0.76vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.71-0.89vs Predicted
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7Miami University-1.80+0.24vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-0.43-3.66vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-0.81-3.62vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-2.63-1.10vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-2.91-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
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7.46Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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2.64Ohio State University0.620.3%1st Place
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3.29Michigan State University0.220.2%1st Place
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5.76Denison University-1.040.1%1st Place
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5.11Michigan Technological University-0.710.1%1st Place
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7.24Miami University-1.800.0%1st Place
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4.34Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.38Ohio State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
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9.35Ohio University-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Smith | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 18.2% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 2.8% |
| James Elder | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 9.5% |
| Corinne Sackett | 30.6% | 23.5% | 19.9% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 21.6% | 20.3% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shea Dettling | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Courtney Castelic | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Jose Avila | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 8.1% |
| Austin Lee | 12.2% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Margaret Hill | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 24.9% | 31.8% |
| Shane LaPlante | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 21.2% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.