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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.44+4.43vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.19+1.54vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.53+5.63vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.93+3.40vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.92+2.25vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.47+2.93vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands2.77+0.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-0.19vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis1.94+1.61vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-2.80vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-2.30vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-2.06vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-3.06vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-7.39vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.33-5.81vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine1.06-2.72vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley0.92-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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3.54Stanford University4.190.3%1st Place
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8.63Stanford University2.530.1%1st Place
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7.4University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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7.25Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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7.85California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.1%1st Place
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10.61University of California at Davis1.940.0%1st Place
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7.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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8.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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6.61University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Southern California2.330.0%1st Place
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13.28University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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13.61University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Sly | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 25.8% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Ron | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Rojas Mayol | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 21.7% | 34.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 19.7% | 40.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.