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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.02vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.24+10.34vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+2.05vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+3.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.20vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+2.02vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+1.97vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.06-0.20vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.75+0.33vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-1.39vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.34+3.25vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-3.42vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University1.42+0.49vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-5.23vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.97-6.75vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.75vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.21-10.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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12.34University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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5.05Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.64Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.02University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.97Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.8Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.33Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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15.25University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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9.58Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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14.49Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.25Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 8.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.7% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 17.9% | 40.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 17.8% | 31.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.