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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.10vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+7.96vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+6.03vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+5.04vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+2.61vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.75+4.09vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-1.13vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+2.02vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-1.52vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-0.69vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-1.39vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.34+3.23vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-2.11vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-7.01vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.21-6.89vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University1.42-1.17vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-7.05vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.96Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.04Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.61Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.09Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.02Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.48Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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15.23University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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10.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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14.83Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.88University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 14.6% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 19.2% | 38.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 19.9% | 33.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.