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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+9.33vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.46vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+6.32vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+3.45vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10-0.10vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+3.63vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+2.40vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.75+1.99vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.49vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97-0.59vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-2.02vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.34+3.17vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.24-1.09vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-4.18vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.84-9.25vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-4.86vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University1.42-2.18vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.21-9.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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7.45Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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4.9Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.63Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.51Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.41Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.98Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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15.17University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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11.91University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.82Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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5.75University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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14.82Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.01Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Dunphy | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.4% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 18.2% | 38.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 7.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.6% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 23.1% | 31.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.