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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+8.87vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.08vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+5.45vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+6.07vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+3.72vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.24vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97+2.17vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-0.58vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75+1.04vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.24+2.32vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-5.07vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.75-1.68vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-4.09vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-3.22vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.35-7.49vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.91-6.45vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.34-1.96vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University1.42-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.87Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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5.08Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.45Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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8.72Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.17Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.42Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.04Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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12.32University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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5.93University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.32Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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7.51Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.55Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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15.04University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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14.59Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 1.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.0% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Laura Dunphy | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 9.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 17.6% | 38.9% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 19.0% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.