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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+7.97vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.34+13.26vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+2.07vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+3.52vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+2.49vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.42+8.74vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+2.39vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+2.00vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99-0.02vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-4.00vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-0.69vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.21-3.52vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-5.91vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-4.67vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.75-4.99vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.97-6.73vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.77vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.97Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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15.26University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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5.07Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.52Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.49Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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14.74Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.39Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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10.0Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.98University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.33Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.01Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.27Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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11.87University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Leslie Poole | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 20.4% | 37.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.7% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 19.3% | 33.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 5.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.