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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.94+1.29vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30+1.18vs Predicted
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3University of Texas-0.67+1.68vs Predicted
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4University of Texas-0.50+0.40vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.11-1.16vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.44-0.29vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.20-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Rice University0.9436.5%1st Place
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3.18Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.3019.0%1st Place
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4.68University of Texas-0.677.6%1st Place
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4.4University of Texas-0.509.0%1st Place
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3.84Clemson University-0.1113.5%1st Place
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5.71Northwestern University-1.443.5%1st Place
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3.9Texas A&M University-0.2010.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 36.5% | 27.5% | 17.5% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Carew | 19.0% | 20.1% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Kate Lyon | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 24.2% | 18.0% |
| Rohit Rajan | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 14.1% |
| Neil Bunce | 13.5% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 7.4% |
| Luke Sadalla | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 49.9% |
| Drew Gourley | 10.8% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.