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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.97+8.32vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.24+10.34vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.97vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.15vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+5.94vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.54vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-2.08vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06+0.69vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75+1.01vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.75+0.31vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-3.21vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-1.97vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-3.78vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University1.42+0.47vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-4.89vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.34-0.95vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.21-8.70vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.99-9.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.32Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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12.34University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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7.54Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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4.92Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.69Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.01Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.31Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.79Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.03Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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14.47Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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15.05University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.3Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.1% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 20.4% | 29.6% |
| Laura Dunphy | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Leslie Poole | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 39.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.