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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.97+8.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+5.75vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+6.33vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+5.90vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10-0.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+3.45vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-1.20vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.75+1.97vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.24+3.11vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-2.14vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.63vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-0.58vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.34+1.86vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University1.42+0.53vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.85-5.38vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.21-7.79vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.06-8.00vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.38Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.75Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.9Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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4.89Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.8University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.97Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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12.11University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.86Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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14.86University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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14.53Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.62Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.21Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Luna | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 17.0% | 16.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.4% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.8% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 7.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 5.3% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 18.5% | 36.8% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 17.0% | 32.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.