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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.02vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+8.10vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.45vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+5.01vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85+4.56vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.42+8.75vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-2.09vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-0.47vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.06-0.26vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-2.19vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-1.43vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-1.54vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.24-1.08vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-3.22vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.340.00vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.21-7.79vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.75-6.79vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.97-9.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.56Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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14.75Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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4.91Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.53Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.74Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.81Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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10.46Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.92University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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15.0University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.21Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.21Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.98Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 20.3% | 32.9% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.3% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 37.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.