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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.14vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+5.77vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.92vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+3.55vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+4.99vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.84vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+2.44vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85+1.62vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.15vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-1.56vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.34+4.00vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University1.42+3.04vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-5.84vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.24-2.20vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.97-5.85vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.99-6.88vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.06-8.04vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.75-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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7.77Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.55Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.99Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.62Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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8.44Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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15.0University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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15.04Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.8University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.15Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.92Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 14.2% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.9% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 22.6% | 34.4% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 38.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 7.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.