← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.38+6.76vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.35+5.87vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+7.02vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.10+0.91vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.75+5.03vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.20vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+4.06vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.91+1.29vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin1.34+6.00vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University2.85-0.08vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.75-0.77vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida2.24+0.36vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island3.84-7.30vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University2.97-5.13vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.21-6.85vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont2.99-6.87vs Predicted
-
17Santa Clara University1.42-2.14vs Predicted
-
18Bowdoin College3.06-9.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.76Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
7.87Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
10.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
4.91Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
-
10.03Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
-
7.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
11.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
-
9.29Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
-
15.0University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
-
9.92Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
10.23Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
12.36University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
-
5.7University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
8.87Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.15Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
9.13University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
-
14.86Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
-
8.64Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.1% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Leslie Poole | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 19.7% | 35.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 9.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 20.3% | 33.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.