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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.97+8.20vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.85vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+5.28vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.98+8.68vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+5.77vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+2.92vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+2.28vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.10-3.12vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85+0.46vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-2.38vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.24+0.97vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-1.82vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-5.98vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.35-6.76vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University1.42-0.41vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.06-7.32vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.34-2.06vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-8.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.2Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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5.85University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.68Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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10.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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4.88Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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9.46Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.62Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.97University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.18Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.24Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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14.59Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.68Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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14.94University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Emilia Clementi | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 12.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 3.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.2% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 18.9% | 29.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 35.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.