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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+6.59vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+2.99vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.24+9.13vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.01vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+5.76vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.62vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+2.25vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21-0.06vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85+0.50vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97-0.68vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-1.93vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.34+3.03vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-0.27vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.35-6.71vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.06-6.40vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-6.05vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University1.42-2.30vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.84-12.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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4.99Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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12.13University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.5Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.32Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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15.03University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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12.73Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.29Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.6Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.95Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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14.7Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Leslie Poole | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 36.8% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 11.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 22.3% | 29.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.4% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.