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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.03vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.77vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+6.25vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+4.57vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.91+4.16vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+4.90vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+2.94vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.34+6.68vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99-0.15vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.66vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.85-1.40vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-4.22vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-0.34vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-6.28vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.24-3.13vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.38-8.60vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University1.42-2.25vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.75-8.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.25Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.57Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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10.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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14.68University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.6Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.78Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.66Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.72Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.87University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.4Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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14.75Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.72Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 18.9% | 33.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Emilia Clementi | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 12.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 19.1% | 31.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.