← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rice University0.94+1.27vs Predicted
-
2Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30+1.13vs Predicted
-
3University of Texas-0.50+1.46vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University-0.11-0.21vs Predicted
-
5University of Texas-0.67-0.32vs Predicted
-
6Texas A&M University-0.20-2.07vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-1.44-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.27Rice University0.9437.4%1st Place
-
3.13Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.3019.4%1st Place
-
4.46University of Texas-0.508.6%1st Place
-
3.79Clemson University-0.1112.2%1st Place
-
4.68University of Texas-0.677.7%1st Place
-
3.93Texas A&M University-0.2011.2%1st Place
-
5.74Northwestern University-1.443.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 37.4% | 26.6% | 17.7% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Carew | 19.4% | 21.2% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Rohit Rajan | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 20.8% | 15.1% |
| Neil Bunce | 12.2% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 5.5% |
| Kate Lyon | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 23.7% | 18.6% |
| Drew Gourley | 11.2% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 15.2% | 7.0% |
| Luke Sadalla | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.