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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+6.33vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University1.42+12.89vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+7.21vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+6.72vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+2.28vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10-1.19vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+0.48vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97+0.86vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-3.39vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.24+2.06vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-2.00vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-2.44vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-0.33vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.34+0.57vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.85-5.62vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.21-7.93vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-6.94vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.06-9.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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14.89Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.0%1st Place
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10.72St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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7.28Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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4.81Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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7.48Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.86Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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5.61University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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12.06University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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12.67Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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14.57University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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9.38Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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8.07Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.06Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.45Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 7.3% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 34.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.1% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 7.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 10.2% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 17.5% | 32.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.