← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.05+5.63vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.64vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.97+7.95vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.30+5.27vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.03+5.36vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.23+3.70vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.51vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.01vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin2.12+1.16vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida2.21+0.01vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.56-2.54vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.58-3.37vs Predicted
-
13Santa Clara University0.59+1.96vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.49-5.66vs Predicted
-
15Boston College2.22-5.37vs Predicted
-
16Brown University3.01-9.32vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College2.54-8.46vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University-0.22-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.63Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
10.95Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
9.27Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
-
10.36Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
-
9.7University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
6.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
-
10.16University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
-
10.01University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
-
8.46Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
-
8.63University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
14.96Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
8.34Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
-
9.63Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
-
6.68Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
-
8.54Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
16.53Harvard University-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 1.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Kate Klement | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Madison Gates | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 31.2% | 25.9% |
| Charlotte List | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Kjorlien | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 17.0% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.