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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.49+7.81vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.68vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.65vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+2.38vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.97+5.61vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.03+4.55vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.30+2.39vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.00vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.22+0.72vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.01-3.16vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.12-0.78vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.21-1.86vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.23-3.48vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-5.98vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.56-6.68vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University0.59-0.79vs Predicted
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17Harvard University-0.22-0.32vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.54-9.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.81Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.38Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.61Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.55Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.39Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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9.72Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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6.84Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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10.14University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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15.21Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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16.68Harvard University-0.220.0%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte List | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Madison Gates | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 32.3% | 25.9% |
| Olivia Kjorlien | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 17.7% | 63.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.