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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+4.69vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.03+7.76vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+4.48vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.50vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.23+3.68vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+1.32vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.05vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.22+0.73vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.97+0.95vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-2.41vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-3.40vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-6.73vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.30-4.95vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University0.59+0.12vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.21-6.18vs Predicted
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17Harvard University-0.22-0.31vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.12-8.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.69Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.76Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.48Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island2.230.1%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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9.73Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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10.95Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.27Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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15.12Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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9.82University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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16.69Harvard University-0.220.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Charlotte List | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 0.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 1.3% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 32.3% | 24.8% |
| Madison Gates | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Kjorlien | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 14.9% | 65.4% |
| Kate Klement | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.