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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.23+8.86vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.55vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.03+7.68vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+2.56vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.22+4.61vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+0.43vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.21+2.74vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.30+1.30vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.05vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.97+0.97vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-2.61vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-3.27vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.49-4.55vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-7.68vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.54-6.61vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University0.59-0.83vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.12-6.72vs Predicted
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18Harvard University-0.22-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.86University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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6.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.68Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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6.56Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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6.43Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.74University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.97Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.73Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.45Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.39Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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15.17Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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16.5Harvard University-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Madison Gates | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Quinn Howes | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 1.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte List | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 32.1% | 26.3% |
| Kate Klement | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Kjorlien | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 6.4% | 15.9% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.