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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.65vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.49+6.82vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.12+7.36vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.30+5.28vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.49vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.22+3.70vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01-0.41vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05-1.65vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.54-0.61vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.21+0.01vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.97-0.15vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.58vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.23-3.45vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.03-3.83vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.56-6.68vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-7.63vs Predicted
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17Harvard University-0.22-0.34vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University0.59-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.82Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.7Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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6.59Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.35Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.39Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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10.01University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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10.85Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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10.17Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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16.66Harvard University-0.220.0%1st Place
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15.03Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Kate Klement | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.7% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Madison Gates | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Kjorlien | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 16.8% | 64.2% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 12.4% | 33.0% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.